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Red69
125018.7
608130.5
9312B19.0
Blue83
719721.1
717433.1
931230.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798502003004005006983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.7
30.730.0
Auto12.4
Teleop14.2
End3.9
blue by 2.6
33.10.4
29.029.5
Auto12.9
Teleop17.2
End3.0
Second
19.00.8
22.421.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.6
End2.2
blue by 11.7
30.70.4
28.729.2
Auto11.5
Teleop17.4
End1.8
Third
1250
#13
18.70.7
19.118.4
Auto5.9
Teleop9.7
End3.1
blue by 2.3
7197
#30
21.10.4
18.619.1
Auto7.2
Teleop13.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
60%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed