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Red39
719616.6
168425.9
Blue63
506611.1
317527.3
24720.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467001001503963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#20
25.90.5
23.322.8
Auto5.5
Teleop18.9
End1.6
blue by 1.3
3175
#27
27.30.8
28.527.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Second
7196
#16
16.60.5
17.216.7
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 3.7
247
#4
20.40.8
21.020.2
Auto7.5
Teleop9.6
End3.2
Third
4.00.6
4.13.4
Auto0.4
Teleop1.2
End2.4
blue by 7.1
5066
#31
11.10.8
10.79.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned