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Red76
3604B14.9
719616.6
924522.5
Blue40
436238.6
9312B19.0
828010.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567501001502002507640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9245
#19
22.51.2
20.421.6
Auto8.0
Teleop13.3
End1.2
blue by 16.1
4362
#14
38.61.7
41.539.8
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
Second
7196
#16
16.61.2
16.117.3
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 2.3
19.02.9
13.310.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.6
End2.2
Third
14.92.0
16.318.4
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End2.3
red by 4.2
8280
#33
10.71.7
11.09.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed