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Red99
436238.6
49426.7
57319.4
Blue104
717433.1
86227.7
168425.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9292708010011012099104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#14
38.60.3
38.338.6
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
red by 5.5
33.10.5
31.732.2
Auto12.9
Teleop17.2
End3.0
Second
494
#1
26.70.3
26.426.7
Auto8.4
Teleop14.3
End4.0
blue by 1.0
862
#10
27.70.5
26.426.8
Auto7.3
Teleop17.1
End3.3
Third
573
#21
19.40.3
19.119.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.7
End5.3
blue by 6.6
1684
#20
25.90.5
24.625.1
Auto5.5
Teleop18.9
End1.6