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Red27
75984.9
722012.1
60576.2
Blue18
43956.7
88994.9
610111.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2432010204050602718

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7220
#28
12.10.3
6.06.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End1.4
red by 0.9
6101
#26
11.21.9
8.06.1
Auto5.7
Teleop3.4
End2.1
Second
6057
#16
6.20.5
10.110.6
Auto2.9
Teleop1.6
End1.7
blue by 0.5
4395
#18
6.71.9
9.67.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.2
Third
7598
#33
4.90.5
6.57.0
Auto1.5
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Level
8899
#31
4.91.9
10.78.8
Auto3.2
Teleop1.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed