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Red53
370722.2
118818.2
657021.5
Blue21
440515.9
148122.5
46921.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4952304060705321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.5
16.616.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.1
End2.6
blue by 0.3
1481
#11
22.52.6
13.811.2
Auto11.9
Teleop8.5
End2.1
Second
21.50.3
20.420.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.8
End2.4
red by 0.5
469
#3
21.02.6
16.513.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.6
End2.0
Third
1188
#15
18.20.5
10.19.7
Auto9.2
Teleop7.2
End1.8
red by 2.3
4405
#20
15.92.6
14.111.5
Auto7.1
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed