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Red13
5121.0
610111.2
97273.4
Blue64
721118.8
22621.0
88329.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34490204060801364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#12
21.02.2
19.116.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Level
226
#7
21.00.7
19.320.0
Auto11.1
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Second
6101
#26
11.22.2
6.13.9
Auto5.7
Teleop3.4
End2.1
blue by 7.6
18.80.7
15.416.1
Auto6.7
Teleop9.8
End2.4
Third
9727
#34
3.42.2
7.65.4
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.3
blue by 6.2
8832
#32
9.60.7
7.78.5
Auto5.5
Teleop3.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed