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Red17
947.9
440515.9
47377.7
Blue53
43956.7
615025.0
88329.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3535203040501753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#20
15.91.6
12.210.6
Auto7.1
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 9.0
25.01.1
17.518.6
Auto10.4
Teleop12.7
End1.9
Second
94
#14
7.91.6
11.610.0
Auto0.9
Teleop6.2
End0.8
blue by 1.7
8832
#32
9.61.8
8.810.6
Auto5.5
Teleop3.9
End0.3
Third
4737
#37
7.71.6
7.55.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.2
red by 1.0
4395
#18
6.71.8
5.67.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed