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Red43
2408.5
88329.6
365620.9
Blue64
118818.2
661523.4
47377.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35363040455055604364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.5
12.012.4
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End2.4
blue by 2.4
23.42.4
16.619.0
Auto9.5
Teleop12.2
End1.6
Second
8832
#32
9.60.5
10.611.1
Auto5.5
Teleop3.9
End0.3
blue by 8.6
1188
#15
18.22.4
10.012.4
Auto9.2
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Third
240
#25
8.50.5
9.39.7
Auto4.3
Teleop2.4
End1.8
red by 0.8
4737
#37
7.72.4
5.98.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed