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Red27
837317.5
83010.8
148122.5
Blue6
55316.0
15283.4
75984.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5314020406080100276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
#11
22.51.8
14.913.1
Auto11.9
Teleop8.5
End2.1
red by 16.5
5531
#22
6.01.2
6.25.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.0
End0.4
Second
8373
#17
17.51.1
14.913.8
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End2.0
red by 12.6
7598
#33
4.91.2
9.27.9
Auto1.5
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Third
830
#13
10.81.8
13.111.3
Auto6.9
Teleop3.9
End0.0
red by 7.4
1528
#27
3.40.7
1.60.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed