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Red37
71479.4
97753.5
22621.0
Blue64
653813.7
125021.8
722012.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37471020306070803764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#7
21.00.2
23.023.3
Auto11.1
Teleop8.6
End1.3
blue by 0.8
1250
#10
21.80.3
23.423.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End1.7
Second
7147
#35
9.40.2
4.54.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
blue by 4.4
6538
#21
13.70.2
11.711.9
Auto9.4
Teleop3.7
End0.6
Third
9775
#39
3.50.2
7.47.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.5
blue by 8.5
7220
#28
12.10.2
6.56.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed