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Red43
657021.5
6612.9
148122.5
Blue61
365620.9
22621.0
947.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524302060801004361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
#11
22.50.3
14.514.2
Auto11.9
Teleop8.5
End2.1
red by 1.4
226
#7
21.01.2
16.317.6
Auto11.1
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Second
21.50.2
19.719.5
Auto4.3
Teleop14.8
End2.4
red by 0.6
20.91.2
14.015.2
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End2.4
Third
66
#19
12.90.3
11.511.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.4
red by 5.0
94
#14
7.91.2
9.610.9
Auto0.9
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned