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Red48
661523.4
148122.5
97273.4
Blue18
88959.7
653813.7
97753.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492404060804818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.7
19.820.5
Auto9.5
Teleop12.2
End1.6
red by 9.6
6538
#21
13.70.4
9.49.0
Auto9.4
Teleop3.7
End0.6
Second
1481
#11
22.50.7
15.215.9
Auto11.9
Teleop8.5
End2.1
red by 12.8
8895
#29
9.70.7
8.98.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End0.6
Third
9727
#34
3.40.7
6.47.1
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.3
blue by 0.1
9775
#39
3.50.7
6.35.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed