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Red42
75984.9
22621.0
88994.9
Blue10
440515.9
97273.4
97753.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38310501001502002504210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#7
21.00.2
19.119.3
Auto11.1
Teleop8.6
End1.3
red by 5.1
4405
#20
15.91.8
16.514.6
Auto7.1
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Second
7598
#33
4.90.2
8.68.7
Auto1.5
Teleop2.6
End0.8
red by 1.4
9775
#39
3.51.8
5.73.8
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.5
Third
8899
#31
4.90.1
5.85.9
Auto3.2
Teleop1.4
End0.2
red by 1.4
9727
#34
3.41.8
7.15.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed