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Red30
653813.7
97273.4
837317.5
Blue38
60576.2
661523.4
43956.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383102060801003038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8373
#17
17.50.6
15.214.6
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End2.0
blue by 5.9
23.40.4
10.210.7
Auto9.5
Teleop12.2
End1.6
Second
6538
#21
13.70.6
9.69.0
Auto9.4
Teleop3.7
End0.6
red by 7.1
4395
#18
6.70.4
9.19.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.2
Third
9727
#34
3.44.3
3.98.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.3
blue by 2.8
6057
#16
6.20.4
9.710.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed