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Red60
837317.5
5121.0
88994.9
Blue27
92117.1
71479.4
721118.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373720304050606027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#12
21.01.0
15.116.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End2.3
red by 2.2
18.80.6
18.017.4
Auto6.7
Teleop9.8
End2.4
Second
8373
#17
17.50.7
12.813.5
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End2.0
red by 8.1
7147
#35
9.40.6
9.58.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
Third
8899
#31
4.91.0
5.96.9
Auto3.2
Teleop1.4
End0.2
blue by 2.2
9211
#36
7.10.6
5.75.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed