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Red29
125021.8
97273.4
851910.4
Blue45
817910.0
15283.4
610111.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49160102030406070802945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1250
#10
21.81.4
23.221.8
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End1.7
red by 10.7
6101
#26
11.21.0
9.710.8
Auto5.7
Teleop3.4
End2.1
Second
8519
#30
10.41.1
11.810.7
Auto5.1
Teleop2.8
End2.6
red by 0.4
8179
#23
10.01.0
7.99.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Third
9727
#34
3.41.4
5.23.8
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.3
Level
1528
#27
3.40.8
0.81.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed