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Red54
661523.4
947.9
148122.5
Blue46
612020.1
2408.5
440515.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604702040801005446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.0
23.023.1
Auto9.5
Teleop12.2
End1.6
red by 3.3
20.10.0
20.020.1
Auto8.0
Teleop10.7
End1.5
Second
1481
#11
22.50.0
22.222.2
Auto11.9
Teleop8.5
End2.1
red by 6.6
4405
#20
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto7.1
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Third
94
#14
7.90.0
7.67.6
Auto0.9
Teleop6.2
End0.8
blue by 0.6
240
#25
8.50.0
8.48.5
Auto4.3
Teleop2.4
End1.8