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Red35
21713.3
83010.8
118818.2
Blue76
837317.5
5121.0
653813.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4654204060801003576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
#15
18.20.2
18.418.2
Auto9.2
Teleop7.2
End1.8
blue by 2.8
51
#12
21.00.4
19.720.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Second
217
#24
13.30.2
13.513.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End1.0
blue by 4.2
8373
#17
17.50.4
16.216.6
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Third
830
#13
10.80.2
11.010.8
Auto6.9
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 2.9
6538
#21
13.70.4
12.412.8
Auto9.4
Teleop3.7
End0.6