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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826020401001201405668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.4
33.633.2
Auto14.0
Teleop18.0
End1.2
red by 8.1
25.10.2
24.925.1
Auto11.0
Teleop13.0
End1.1
Second
27.50.4
27.927.5
Auto8.2
Teleop18.2
End1.0
red by 3.8
302
#6
23.60.3
23.423.6
Auto10.1
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Third
6538
#15
9.60.4
10.09.6
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End0.4
red by 0.4
201
#27
9.30.2
9.09.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End1.5