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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25290102040506070757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#13
10.41.5
9.98.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.4
blue by 3.0
9566
#14
13.42.5
9.011.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End1.0
Second
5462
#26
9.81.7
11.49.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.7
End0.8
blue by 3.3
5535
#22
13.02.5
9.912.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Third
7810
#34
0.51.5
1.80.2
Auto-1.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
blue by 8.8
201
#27
9.32.5
7.09.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed