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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6848204060801006059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.1
28.528.5
Auto8.2
Teleop18.2
End1.0
red by 2.3
25.11.1
23.024.0
Auto11.0
Teleop13.0
End1.1
Second
7174
#10
19.30.1
18.118.2
Auto8.4
Teleop8.2
End2.6
red by 4.5
4956
#23
14.81.1
12.913.9
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End1.8
Third
5535
#22
13.00.1
12.712.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.8
red by 1.4
3875
#25
11.61.1
10.011.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed