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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions845420401001201406758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.2
34.033.8
Auto14.0
Teleop18.0
End1.2
red by 10.3
22.90.1
22.822.9
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End3.2
Second
27.50.2
28.228.1
Auto8.2
Teleop18.2
End1.0
red by 8.9
8612
#17
18.60.1
18.518.6
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Third
6538
#15
9.60.2
10.310.1
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End0.4
blue by 2.0
3875
#25
11.60.1
11.511.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5