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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55320204060801001205552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7174
#10
19.30.1
19.119.2
Auto8.4
Teleop8.2
End2.6
red by 4.6
573
#9
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Second
4956
#23
14.80.1
14.614.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End1.8
red by 4.4
5314
#13
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.4
Third
5535
#22
13.00.1
13.013.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.8
red by 6.4
7809
#21
6.70.0
6.76.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End1.3