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Red64
24517.6
54822.8
46918.3
Blue29
60997.9
86213.8
332219.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825301001506429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#11
22.80.5
24.924.4
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End1.0
red by 3.4
3322
#10
19.41.5
24.523.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End2.2
Second
469
#18
18.30.5
22.622.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End0.2
red by 4.5
862
#14
13.81.5
15.914.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Third
245
#13
17.60.5
23.523.0
Auto6.3
Teleop10.4
End1.0
red by 9.8
6099
#26
7.91.5
11.49.8
Auto5.8
Teleop1.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed