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Red55
353815.4
543618.2
30219.2
Blue32
54822.8
296013.7
22626.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions538302040601001205532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#3
19.20.2
20.120.3
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End3.9
blue by 7.0
226
#8
26.32.7
30.928.3
Auto13.1
Teleop11.3
End1.8
Second
5436
#21
18.20.2
19.920.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.9
blue by 4.6
548
#11
22.82.7
24.221.6
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End1.0
Third
3538
#24
15.41.8
10.011.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End1.4
red by 1.6
2960
#31
13.72.7
16.714.1
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed