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Red56
481012.7
341427.8
233723.9
Blue97
22626.3
150622.0
283221.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions819140601001205697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.81.6
27.826.1
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End2.3
red by 1.5
226
#8
26.30.8
30.631.4
Auto13.1
Teleop11.3
End1.8
Second
2337
#19
23.91.6
31.429.7
Auto5.8
Teleop15.8
End2.3
red by 1.9
1506
#16
22.00.8
28.429.2
Auto9.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
Third
4810
#17
12.71.6
15.213.6
Auto5.9
Teleop5.9
End0.9
blue by 8.8
2832
#12
21.50.8
22.022.8
Auto10.7
Teleop9.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned