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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344202060801003042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.40.2
17.317.1
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End2.5
red by 1.7
16.60.6
13.914.4
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Second
6150
#16
13.90.2
7.97.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 1.5
5066
#15
15.50.6
10.911.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Third
9210
#22
6.60.2
6.26.1
Auto1.4
Teleop4.9
End0.3
blue by 7.6
5144
#18
14.20.6
12.212.8
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed