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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31510204060801002970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7790
#24
11.30.2
11.010.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End0.4
blue by 19.6
30.92.9
21.924.8
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End2.8
Second
4377
#21
9.80.2
11.411.2
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End2.7
blue by 18.5
28.32.9
11.214.1
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End3.1
Third
5205
#29
6.70.2
8.38.1
Auto0.6
Teleop5.4
End0.7
blue by 3.0
4216
#25
9.72.9
10.813.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned