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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84450206010012014011047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.3
30.130.4
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End2.8
red by 11.2
7226
#12
19.80.0
19.619.6
Auto10.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Second
28.30.3
27.527.8
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End3.1
red by 8.6
19.70.0
19.519.5
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Third
8424
#23
14.60.3
13.814.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.2
red by 7.9
8300
#28
6.70.0
6.56.5
Auto1.2
Teleop5.4
End0.1