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Red46
716617.3
56416.6
917622.3
Blue48
612122.0
191816.7
496720.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508701001504648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.3
20.219.9
Auto9.9
Teleop11.2
End1.1
red by 0.3
6121
#13
22.01.8
25.323.5
Auto8.7
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Second
7166
#19
17.30.3
26.125.7
Auto8.9
Teleop7.1
End1.2
blue by 3.4
4967
#18
20.71.8
27.325.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.4
End2.9
Third
5641
#10
6.60.3
2.82.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End0.1
blue by 10.0
1918
#12
16.71.8
21.920.2
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsMissed