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Red41
171116.1
400417.4
79112.7
Blue52
592616.3
191816.7
51838.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444520304050604152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#21
17.40.0
20.020.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.9
End1.6
red by 0.7
1918
#12
16.70.2
18.118.3
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End2.5
Second
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End1.0
blue by 0.2
16.30.2
15.415.6
Auto7.2
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Third
7911
#22
2.70.0
5.05.0
Auto0.2
Teleop2.0
End0.4
blue by 5.4
5183
#15
8.10.2
6.16.3
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed