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Red48
496720.7
917622.3
14115.3
Blue62
508419.4
376722.8
171116.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736502040801001201404862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.31.1
20.419.3
Auto9.9
Teleop11.2
End1.1
blue by 0.5
22.81.0
22.521.5
Auto12.6
Teleop10.1
End0.1
Second
4967
#18
20.71.1
25.324.2
Auto7.3
Teleop10.4
End2.9
red by 1.2
5084
#11
19.41.0
20.719.7
Auto8.1
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Third
141
#16
15.31.1
19.017.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.4
End2.4
blue by 0.8
16.11.0
16.115.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed