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Red50
56416.6
611421.6
171116.1
Blue59
439815.4
508419.4
52604.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47421020306070805059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.5
22.222.8
Auto10.3
Teleop8.4
End2.9
red by 2.2
5084
#11
19.40.0
19.319.3
Auto8.1
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Second
16.10.5
15.015.5
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End1.0
red by 0.7
15.40.0
14.214.2
Auto7.0
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Third
5641
#10
6.60.5
5.05.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End0.1
red by 2.4
5260
#20
4.30.0
5.35.3
Auto3.8
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed