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Red38
51838.1
376722.8
439815.4
Blue34
52604.3
592616.3
79112.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633202040801001201403834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.81.3
24.923.6
Auto12.6
Teleop10.1
End0.1
red by 6.5
16.30.1
17.017.1
Auto7.2
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Second
15.41.3
19.017.8
Auto7.0
Teleop6.9
End1.5
red by 11.1
5260
#20
4.30.1
6.97.0
Auto3.8
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
Third
5183
#15
8.11.3
9.38.0
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End3.1
red by 5.4
7911
#22
2.70.1
8.99.0
Auto0.2
Teleop2.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed