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Red27
716011.9
79112.7
716617.3
Blue17
400417.4
52604.3
51838.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403601002003004005002717

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7166
#19
17.31.2
18.517.3
Auto8.9
Teleop7.1
End1.2
blue by 0.1
4004
#21
17.41.1
18.417.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.9
End1.6
Second
11.91.2
13.211.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End1.5
red by 3.8
5183
#15
8.11.1
9.28.1
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End3.1
Third
7911
#22
2.71.2
3.92.7
Auto0.2
Teleop2.0
End0.4
blue by 1.6
5260
#20
4.31.1
5.34.3
Auto3.8
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed