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Red59
353827.6
509010.8
3344.0
Blue95
608128.0
7024.9
924524.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97820501505995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
44.00.6
45.344.7
Auto12.3
Teleop30.1
End1.7
red by 16.0
28.00.3
27.527.8
Auto11.6
Teleop13.6
End2.7
Second
27.60.6
28.928.3
Auto10.1
Teleop14.0
End3.5
red by 2.7
70
#10
24.90.3
24.424.8
Auto5.8
Teleop13.7
End5.4
Third
5090
#31
10.80.6
12.111.5
Auto8.5
Teleop2.4
End-0.1
blue by 13.8
9245
#16
24.60.3
24.124.4
Auto12.3
Teleop10.8
End1.5