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Red59
924524.6
920815.9
509010.8
Blue12
99901.2
54986.8
719611.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68270204060801001201405912

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9245
#16
24.61.1
22.121.0
Auto12.3
Teleop10.8
End1.5
red by 13.3
7196
#23
11.30.6
15.114.5
Auto6.3
Teleop4.6
End0.4
Second
9208
#22
15.91.1
19.218.1
Auto7.6
Teleop5.0
End3.2
red by 9.0
6.80.6
4.64.0
Auto0.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Third
5090
#31
10.81.1
14.913.8
Auto8.5
Teleop2.4
End-0.1
red by 9.7
9990
#32
1.21.0
1.40.4
Auto0.9
Teleop0.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed