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Red87
755827.6
319318.2
608128.0
Blue61
262014.1
171118.2
924524.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825101001508761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.7
25.125.7
Auto11.6
Teleop13.6
End2.7
red by 3.4
9245
#16
24.60.7
19.219.9
Auto12.3
Teleop10.8
End1.5
Second
27.60.7
26.226.8
Auto11.5
Teleop13.7
End2.4
red by 9.4
18.20.7
18.819.6
Auto7.0
Teleop10.2
End1.1
Third
18.20.7
18.919.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.9
End1.0
red by 4.1
2620
#15
14.10.7
11.812.5
Auto6.5
Teleop5.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed