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Red25
675315.8
47374.6
46016.4
Blue28
54986.8
81516.9
84265.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3226010204050602528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6753
#28
15.80.3
18.217.9
Auto8.2
Teleop5.9
End1.7
blue by 1.1
815
#20
16.90.1
15.715.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.8
End2.0
Second
4601
#30
6.40.3
5.75.4
Auto3.7
Teleop0.9
End1.8
blue by 0.4
6.80.1
4.95.0
Auto0.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Third
4737
#18
4.60.3
5.24.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.1
End1.5
blue by 1.0
8426
#11
5.60.1
3.63.7
Auto5.1
Teleop-0.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed