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Red101
353827.6
509010.8
3344.0
Blue85
755827.6
295928.9
920815.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957920406012014016010185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
44.00.2
44.744.9
Auto12.3
Teleop30.1
End1.7
red by 15.2
28.90.2
29.129.3
Auto10.8
Teleop16.1
End1.9
Second
27.60.2
28.328.5
Auto10.1
Teleop14.0
End3.5
Level
27.60.2
27.928.1
Auto11.5
Teleop13.7
End2.4
Third
5090
#31
10.80.2
11.511.7
Auto8.5
Teleop2.4
End-0.1
blue by 5.0
9208
#22
15.90.2
16.216.3
Auto7.6
Teleop5.0
End3.2