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Red42
66166.3
931217.6
440516.5
Blue89
608128.0
719611.3
924524.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406802060801001201401604289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9312
#12
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto11.0
Teleop6.2
End0.4
blue by 10.4
28.00.6
25.726.2
Auto11.6
Teleop13.6
End2.7
Second
4405
#19
16.50.0
16.416.5
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End0.9
blue by 8.1
9245
#16
24.60.6
22.322.8
Auto12.3
Teleop10.8
End1.5
Third
6616
#27
6.30.0
6.26.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End1.2
blue by 5.0
7196
#23
11.30.6
10.711.3
Auto6.3
Teleop4.6
End0.4