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Red35
56953.6
360422.8
317522.9
Blue68
353824.5
432711.3
376724.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587701001502003568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#17
22.91.7
26.424.7
Auto8.5
Teleop13.2
End1.2
blue by 1.9
24.90.3
22.622.3
Auto14.0
Teleop10.1
End0.7
Second
22.81.7
21.519.8
Auto8.4
Teleop12.3
End2.0
blue by 1.7
3538
#18
24.50.3
27.627.3
Auto13.1
Teleop9.1
End2.3
Third
5695
#25
3.61.7
7.15.4
Auto2.1
Teleop0.5
End1.0
blue by 7.8
4327
#19
11.30.3
17.116.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed