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Red79
365518.3
931220.5
239921.4
Blue49
360422.8
75988.8
842310.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6046020801001201407949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#10
21.41.7
19.821.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End2.5
blue by 1.4
22.80.3
21.721.4
Auto8.4
Teleop12.3
End2.0
Second
20.51.7
17.118.8
Auto12.7
Teleop7.0
End0.8
red by 10.0
8423
#24
10.50.3
12.512.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Third
3655
#26
18.31.7
16.017.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.6
End0.3
red by 9.5
7598
#20
8.80.3
8.88.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned