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Red20
353824.5
47374.8
84240.9
Blue29
432711.3
924524.5
66164.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365302060801001202029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#18
24.51.0
24.924.0
Auto13.1
Teleop9.1
End2.3
Level
9245
#11
24.51.2
26.525.3
Auto9.5
Teleop13.1
End1.9
Second
4737
#22
4.81.0
5.74.7
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.2
End1.9
blue by 6.5
4327
#19
11.31.2
14.012.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End0.2
Third
8424
#31
0.91.0
4.13.1
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.8
End-0.3
blue by 3.7
6616
#27
4.61.2
6.14.9
Auto1.7
Teleop2.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed