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Red57
842310.5
365518.3
924524.5
Blue15
60789.6
361812.9
436236.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5710701502005715

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9245
#11
24.50.7
24.623.9
Auto9.5
Teleop13.1
End1.9
blue by 12.2
4362
#23
36.65.0
50.445.4
Auto10.8
Teleop22.3
End3.6
Second
3655
#26
18.30.7
19.518.8
Auto6.4
Teleop11.6
End0.3
red by 5.4
3618
#29
12.95.0
21.416.3
Auto6.0
Teleop5.3
End1.6
Third
8423
#24
10.50.7
13.813.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End1.3
red by 0.9
6078
#30
9.65.0
18.813.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed