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Red87
91025.9
75988.8
376724.9
Blue67
931220.5
436236.6
60789.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607802003004005006008767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#28
25.90.7
24.825.4
Auto10.8
Teleop12.2
End2.8
blue by 10.7
4362
#23
36.60.0
37.337.3
Auto10.8
Teleop22.3
End3.6
Second
24.90.7
23.724.4
Auto14.0
Teleop10.1
End0.7
red by 4.4
20.50.0
21.121.1
Auto12.7
Teleop7.0
End0.8
Third
7598
#20
8.80.7
8.18.7
Auto4.5
Teleop2.7
End1.6
blue by 0.8
6078
#30
9.60.0
10.210.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End1.0