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Red45
283219.3
317522.9
239921.4
Blue90
439819.0
283422.1
365518.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736202040801001201404590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#17
22.90.4
23.422.9
Auto8.5
Teleop13.2
End1.2
red by 0.9
22.10.7
21.322.1
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End3.8
Second
2399
#10
21.40.4
21.821.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End2.5
red by 2.3
4398
#12
19.00.7
18.319.0
Auto9.2
Teleop7.5
End2.3
Third
2832
#13
19.30.4
19.819.3
Auto9.1
Teleop7.8
End2.4
red by 1.0
3655
#26
18.30.7
17.618.3
Auto6.4
Teleop11.6
End0.3