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Red39
262016.3
309610.1
543628.7
Blue35
97444.9
569710.5
918215.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46280204060803935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.0
14.514.5
Auto12.8
Teleop12.7
End3.3
red by 13.1
9182
#19
15.60.8
13.214.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Second
2620
#15
16.30.0
13.613.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End2.1
red by 5.8
5697
#21
10.50.5
5.45.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Third
3096
#28
10.10.0
11.111.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.3
red by 5.1
9744
#39
4.90.6
9.410.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed