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Red6
71915.7
97476.3
97444.9
Blue17
118918.7
52633.2
842710.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24430206080617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9747
#24
6.32.0
7.65.6
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End1.2
blue by 12.4
1189
#11
18.72.8
19.216.5
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Second
7191
#26
5.72.0
8.96.9
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End0.1
blue by 4.8
8427
#14
10.52.8
10.67.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End1.9
Third
9744
#39
4.92.0
7.75.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End1.1
red by 1.7
5263
#27
3.22.8
6.94.2
Auto0.8
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed